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Neighborhood · Mercerville, NJ

Colonial Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 13,055 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.3/10 · range 1.2–3.7

Colonial Lakes is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Mercerville with 3 census tracts and a population of 13,055 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,724/month sits 6% higher than the Mercerville citywide average ($1,621).

Risk score
2.3
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Colonial Lakes vs Mercerville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.8% +82%
Mercerville: 24.6%
Average gross rent
$1,724 +6%
Mercerville: $1,621
Average HH income
$101,280 -19%
Mercerville: $125,678
Poverty rate
5.6% +101%
Mercerville: 2.8%
Renter share
30.8% +101%
Mercerville: 15.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Colonial Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 1.2–3.7

Why Colonial Lakes scores 2.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–7.3 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 4.2–6.8 across tracts
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.2 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 3.9–4.0 across tracts
3.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.2–5.0 across tracts
3.8
Economic stress
5.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–7.7 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Colonial Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Colonial Lakes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Colonial Lakes: 2.32.3Colonial LakesNeighborhoodParent city: 7.17.1Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Colonial Lakes?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.5 points from 1.2 to 3.7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Colonial Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34021003100 3.7 4,281 48% $1,327
34021002902 2 4,766 54% $1,365
34021002903 1.2 4,008 30% $2,576
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 83%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Colonial Lakes

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,243Total filings (sum)
  • 10.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.0%Peak year (2016)
  • 10.74%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Colonial Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Colonial Lakes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Colonial Lakes?

Colonial Lakes scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Colonial Lakes compare to Mercerville overall?

Colonial Lakes scores 4.8 points lower than Mercerville overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,724 vs $1,621.
Q3

What is the average rent in Colonial Lakes?

Average gross rent in Colonial Lakes is $1,724/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Colonial Lakes residents are renters?

31% of Colonial Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in Mercerville). The neighborhood has 13,055 residents.
Q5

Is Colonial Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Colonial Lakes sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Colonial Lakes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Colonial Lakes is census tract 34021003100 (score 3.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.2 to 3.7, a spread of 2.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Colonial Lakes for landlords?

Colonial Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mercerville as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Colonial Lakes?

Colonial Lakes has 13,355 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.1%), Hispanic / Latino (21.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Colonial Lakes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mercerville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Colonial Lakes.

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