East Trenton Eviction Risk: Elevated

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.6 to 8.4, a 2.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Trenton rate of 34.0%.

Food insecurity affects 38.2% of adults, 20.4 points above the national rate. 19.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10.

Filings are well documented here: 2,917 across 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 42.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 23.2% in 2018, is well off that peak. Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Trenton, it ranks #14 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Hillcrest and Chambersburg score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,229, close to the Trenton average.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.