South Trenton Eviction Risk: High

At $794 a month, rents sit 39% under what the rest of Trenton commands. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.9 to 8.4, a 2.5-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.7/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 29.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 25.7% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Filings are well documented here: 2,144 across 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2017 at 51.1% of renter households. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.

The most recent observed rate, 27.9% in 2018, is well off that peak. That places it #8 of 13 neighborhoods in Trenton.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.