Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally
South Trenton Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34021000200 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 3,437 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 34021000200 covers the South Trenton neighborhood of Trenton, home to 3,437 residents. For landlords it grades 7.5/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.
64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,351 a month while the average household earns $78,750 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,438
Renter share36.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate22.9%
Median income$78,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Trenton and the region
Centroid at 40.2022, -74.7498 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Trenton scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Trenton
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.9% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Trenton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Trenton
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Trenton
7.0
How South Trenton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,419Total filings over 6 yrs
- 41.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 51.1%Peak (2016)
- 207Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Trenton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.5%Housing insecurity
- 15.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.8%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 25.7%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Trenton
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Trenton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mercer County average of 6.7 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 27.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34021000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021000200?
Census tract 34021000200 in the South Trenton neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34021000200?
Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34021000200?
22.9% of residents in tract 34021000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,437.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34021000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 61th, minority 75th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 34021000200 considered part of South Trenton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021000200 fall within South Trenton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021000200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,419 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.56% of renter households, peaking at 51.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34021000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34021000200 compare to Trenton overall?
Tract 34021000200 scores 7.8/10, lower than the parent city of Trenton at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Trenton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34021000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Trenton
Top eight tracts in Trenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Cadwalader Heights
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Chambersburg
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
North Trenton
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Lamberton
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Chambersburg
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
East Trenton
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
The Island
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Perdicaris Place
8.8
/ 10 · High
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