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Census Tract · Ranked #1,292 of 84,120 nationally

New Brunswick Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34023005100 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 6,657

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 34023005100 (New Brunswick, New Jersey) comes in at 8.1/10, the High tier. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,790 a month against an average household income of $78,026 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 85% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 34% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,480
Renter share84.9%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$78,026

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 11 tracts In New Brunswick
Moderate
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#145 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#1,292 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Brunswick and the region

Centroid at 40.5028, -74.4554 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Brunswick scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Brunswick
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,790 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brunswick
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.7

How New Brunswick compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Brunswick risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.48.4This tracttract 005100New Brunswick: 8.08.0New Brunswickparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 54Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak (2015)
  • 54Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Brunswick

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Brunswick eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: New Brunswick eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023005100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023005100?

Census tract 34023005100 in New Brunswick scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023005100?

Median gross rent is $1,790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023005100?

36.5% of residents in tract 34023005100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,657.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023005100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 1th, minority 53th, housing 95th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023005100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023005100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34023005100 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34023005100 compare to New Brunswick overall?

Tract 34023005100 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of New Brunswick at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brunswick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Brunswick

Top eight tracts in New Brunswick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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