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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,339 of 84,120 nationally

Raritan Gardens Eviction Risk: High , New Brunswick

Tract 34023005800 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 5,131 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

34023005800 is a census tract in the Raritan Gardens area of New Brunswick, NJ. It scores 9.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,131 residents. Severe burden reaches 57%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 21% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,408
Renter share72.3%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate39.0%
Median income$36,848

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Raritan Gardens
Very High
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 11 tracts In New Brunswick
Low
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Brunswick and the region

Centroid at 40.4849, -74.4440 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raritan Gardens scores 9.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Brunswick
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
39.0% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,480 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brunswick
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.7

How Raritan Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Raritan Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.7This tracttract 0058008.3New Brunswickparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 60Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2015)
  • 60Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Raritan Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raritan Gardens

71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Middlesex County average of 44.9%. Against the Middlesex County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 4.0 points.

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. Food insecurity runs 44.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $36,848, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.7/10. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9/10. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,480 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of New Brunswick commands. The filing record is not thin: 60 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023005800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023005800?

Census tract 34023005800 in the Raritan Gardens neighborhood scores 9.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023005800?

Median gross rent is $1,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023005800?

39.0% of residents in tract 34023005800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,131.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023005800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 82th, minority 89th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 34023005800 considered part of Raritan Gardens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023005800 fall within Raritan Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023005800?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023005800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.55% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023005800 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023005800 compare to New Brunswick overall?

Tract 34023005800 scores 9.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Brunswick at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brunswick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Brunswick

Top eight tracts in New Brunswick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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