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Census Tract · Ranked #2,339 of 84,120 nationally

New Brunswick Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34023005300 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,700

With a score of 9.7/10, tract 34023005300 in New Brunswick, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,700. It sits 4.0 points above the Middlesex County average of 5.7.

Risk score
9.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 50% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units791
Renter share81.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$59,955

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In New Brunswick
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2,339 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Brunswick and the region

Centroid at 40.4920, -74.4539 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Brunswick scores 9.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Brunswick
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,898 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brunswick
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.7

How New Brunswick compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Brunswick risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.7This tracttract 0053008.3New Brunswickparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 27Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2015)
  • 27Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Brunswick

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 34.5% against 11.3% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9/10. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $59,955 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Housing insecurity runs 32.5% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Middlesex County average of 44.9%. The filing record is not thin: 27 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #2,339 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023005300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023005300?

Census tract 34023005300 in New Brunswick scores 9.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023005300?

Median gross rent is $1,898/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023005300?

23.6% of residents in tract 34023005300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,700.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023005300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 71th, minority 83th, housing 89th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023005300?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023005300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.13% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34023005300 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34023005300 compare to New Brunswick overall?

Tract 34023005300 scores 9.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Brunswick at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brunswick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Brunswick

Top eight tracts in New Brunswick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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