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Neighborhood · Old Bridge, NJ

Sayerwood South Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,589 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.4–3.9

Sayerwood South is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Old Bridge with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,589 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 27% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $732/month sits 50% lower than the Old Bridge citywide average ($1,459).

Risk score
3.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sayerwood South vs Old Bridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.6% -9%
Old Bridge: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$732 -50%
Old Bridge: $1,459
Average HH income
$108,602 +2%
Old Bridge: $106,934
Poverty rate
6.5% -5%
Old Bridge: 6.9%
Renter share
20.8% -20%
Old Bridge: 26.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sayerwood South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–3.9

Why Sayerwood South scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.7 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–5.0 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Sayerwood South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sayerwood South score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Sayerwood South: 3.73.7Sayerwood SouthNeighborhoodParent city: 7.77.7Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Sayerwood South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34023007806 3.9 4,526 40% $1,390
34023007805 3.4 4,063 12%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 42%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Sayerwood South

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 71Total filings (sum)
  • 7.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.9%Peak year (2015)
  • 7.33%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sayerwood South

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sayerwood South

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sayerwood South?

Sayerwood South scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Sayerwood South compare to Old Bridge overall?

Sayerwood South scores 4.0 points lower than Old Bridge overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $732 vs $1,459.
Q3

What is the average rent in Sayerwood South?

Average gross rent in Sayerwood South is $732/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Sayerwood South residents are renters?

21% of Sayerwood South households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Old Bridge). The neighborhood has 8,589 residents.
Q5

Is Sayerwood South a high social-vulnerability area?

Sayerwood South sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Sayerwood South have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sayerwood South is census tract 34023007806 (score 3.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.9, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Sayerwood South for landlords?

Sayerwood South carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Old Bridge as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Sayerwood South?

Sayerwood South has 8,625 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.3%), Hispanic / Latino (24.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sayerwood South

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Old Bridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sayerwood South.

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