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Neighborhood · Old Bridge, NJ

Sayerwood South Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,589 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.2–6

Sayerwood South spans 2 census tracts of Old Bridge, NJ, population 8,589. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $732, 50% below the Old Bridge average of $1,459.

27% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records carry 71 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 13.9% of renter households. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Old Bridge, it ranks #6 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 0.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Spring Knolls and Creighton Village. Against average income of $108,602, annual rent is only 8%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sayerwood South vs Old Bridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.6% -9%
Old Bridge: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$732 -50%
Old Bridge: $1,459
Average HH income
$108,602 +2%
Old Bridge: $106,934
Poverty rate
6.5% -5%
Old Bridge: 6.9%
Renter share
20.8% -20%
Old Bridge: 26.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sayerwood South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2–6

Why Sayerwood South scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.7 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–5.0 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Sayerwood South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sayerwood South score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.6Sayerwood SouthNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Sayerwood South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34023007806 6 4,526 40% $1,390
34023007805 5.2 4,063 12% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 42%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Sayerwood South

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 71Total filings (sum)
  • 7.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.9%Peak year (2015)
  • 7.33%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sayerwood South

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sayerwood South

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sayerwood South?

Sayerwood South scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Sayerwood South compare to Old Bridge overall?

Sayerwood South scores 0.3 points lower than Old Bridge overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $732 vs $1,459.
Q3

What is the average rent in Sayerwood South?

Average gross rent in Sayerwood South is $732/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Sayerwood South residents are renters?

21% of Sayerwood South households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Old Bridge). The neighborhood has 8,589 residents.
Q5

Is Sayerwood South a high social-vulnerability area?

Sayerwood South sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Sayerwood South have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sayerwood South is census tract 34023007806 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 6, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Sayerwood South for landlords?

Sayerwood South carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Old Bridge as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Sayerwood South?

Sayerwood South has 8,625 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.3%), Hispanic / Latino (24.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sayerwood South

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Old Bridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sayerwood South.

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