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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,425 of 84,120 nationally

Rolling Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chatham

Tract 34027042800 · Morris County, NJ · pop 4,872 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 34027042800 reflects conditions in Rolling Hill in Chatham, New Jersey. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,381 a month against an average household income of $250,001 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,444
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 4 tracts In Rolling Hill
Elevated
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 2 tracts In Chatham
Very Low
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileBottomTop
#60 of 110 tracts In Morris County
Moderate
Within state
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileBottomTop
#1,848 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chatham and the region

Centroid at 40.7295, -74.3900 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rolling Hill scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chatham
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,381 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chatham
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chatham
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chatham
2.6

How Rolling Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rolling Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 042800Chatham: 6.86.8Chathamparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.87.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 5Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2017)
  • 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rolling Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rolling Hill

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chatham, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Morris County average of 5.8 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 5 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 1.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.2% of renter households in 2017.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027042800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027042800?

Census tract 34027042800 in the Rolling Hill neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34027042800?

Median gross rent is $2,381/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027042800?

2.2% of residents in tract 34027042800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,872.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027042800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 15th, minority 28th, housing 17th.

Q5

Is tract 34027042800 considered part of Rolling Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34027042800 fall within Rolling Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027042800?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027042800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.80% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 34027042800 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 34027042800 compare to Chatham overall?

Tract 34027042800 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Chatham at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chatham; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 34027042800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chatham

Top eight tracts in Chatham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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