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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Rolling Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chatham

Tract 34027043100 · Morris County, NJ · pop 3,700 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 34027043100 in the Rolling Hill area of Madison, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 4% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,140
Renter share7.0%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$228,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Rolling Hill
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Chatham
Very Low
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 110 tracts In Morris County
Elevated
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#1,000 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chatham and the region

Centroid at 40.7507, -74.4174 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rolling Hill scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chatham
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,515 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chatham
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chatham
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chatham
4.0

How Rolling Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rolling Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0431004.6Chathamparent city5.5Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak (2017)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rolling Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rolling Hill

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.4% against 31.5% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 2.3% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. The voucher gap is 17.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.

At $2,515 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Madison commands. Filings peaked in 2017 at 0.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $228,333, annual rent is just 13%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027043100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027043100?

Census tract 34027043100 in the Rolling Hill neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34027043100?

Median gross rent is $2,515/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027043100?

2.5% of residents in tract 34027043100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,700.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027043100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 30th, minority 33th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 34027043100 considered part of Rolling Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34027043100 fall within Rolling Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027043100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34027043100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.66% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34027043100 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34027043100 compare to Chatham overall?

Tract 34027043100 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Chatham at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chatham; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chatham

Top eight tracts in Chatham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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