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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,519 of 84,120 nationally

Rolling Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chatham

Tract 34027044000 · Morris County, NJ · pop 5,930 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 34027044000 runs through Rolling Hill in Chatham. With 5,930 residents, it scores 6.2/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #16,769 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,734 monthly, set against $234,583 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 6% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,022
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$234,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileBottomTop
#3 of 4 tracts In Rolling Hill
Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Chatham
Moderate
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileBottomTop
#92 of 110 tracts In Morris County
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileBottomTop
#2,040 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chatham and the region

Centroid at 40.7305, -74.4348 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rolling Hill scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chatham
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,734 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chatham
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chatham
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chatham
4.9

How Rolling Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rolling Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 044000Chatham: 6.86.8Chathamparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.87.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 21Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2018)
  • 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rolling Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rolling Hill

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chatham, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Morris County average of 5.8 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 21 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.3% of renter households in 2018.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027044000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027044000?

Census tract 34027044000 in the Rolling Hill neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34027044000?

Median gross rent is $2,734/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027044000?

1.2% of residents in tract 34027044000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,930.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027044000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 25th, minority 40th, housing 37th.

Q5

Is tract 34027044000 considered part of Rolling Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34027044000 fall within Rolling Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027044000?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027044000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.14% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 34027044000 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 34027044000 compare to Chatham overall?

Tract 34027044000 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Chatham at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chatham; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 34027044000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

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