Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Rolling Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chatham
Tract 34027043900 ·
Morris County, NJ · pop 5,000 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 34027043900 in the Rolling Hill area of Morris County, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,000 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 9%Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,913
Renter share13.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$215,612
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33th percentile
#3 of 4 tracts In Rolling Hill
Low
Within county
25th percentile
#83 of 110 tracts In Morris County
Low
Within state
32th percentile
#1,472 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
National
58th percentile
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chatham and the region
Centroid at 40.7326, -74.4085 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rolling Hill scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chatham
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,658 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chatham
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chatham
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chatham
5.0
How Rolling Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
5%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
1%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
3Total filings over 1 yrs
2.00%Avg annual filing rate
2.0%Peak (2018)
3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rolling Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.4%Housing insecurity
2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
4.4%Food insecurity
2.3%SNAP enrollment
3.2%Transit barriers
4.1%No health insurance
10.9%Frequent mental distress
17.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rolling Hill
The voucher gap is 24.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Disability prevalence runs 17.8% against 31.5% nationally.
around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Morris County average of 40.8%. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.4/10.
10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 3 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Morris County average of 5.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 2.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34027043900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027043900?
Census tract 34027043900 in the Rolling Hill neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34027043900?
Median gross rent is $2,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34027043900?
2.6% of residents in tract 34027043900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,000.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34027043900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 59th, minority 35th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 34027043900 considered part of Rolling Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34027043900 fall within Rolling Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027043900?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34027043900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.00% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34027043900 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34027043900 compare to Chatham overall?
Tract 34027043900 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Chatham at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chatham; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34027043900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.