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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,180 of 84,120 nationally

Rolling Hill Eviction Risk: High , Chatham

Tract 34027043900 · Morris County, NJ · pop 5,000 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 34027043900, home to 5,000 residents in Rolling Hill in Chatham, scores 5.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #30,111 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,658 a month while the average household earns $215,612 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 80% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 9% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,913
Renter share13.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$215,612

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 4 tracts In Rolling Hill
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileBottomTop
#13 of 110 tracts In Morris County
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileBottomTop
#739 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileBottomTop
#7,180 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chatham and the region

Centroid at 40.7326, -74.4085 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rolling Hill scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chatham
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,658 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chatham
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chatham
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chatham
5.0

How Rolling Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rolling Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.38.3This tracttract 043900Chatham: 6.86.8Chathamparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.87.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 3Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.0%Peak (2018)
  • 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rolling Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rolling Hill

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chatham, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Morris County average of 5.8 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 3 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.0% of renter households in 2018.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34027043900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027043900?

Census tract 34027043900 in the Rolling Hill neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34027043900?

Median gross rent is $2,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34027043900?

2.6% of residents in tract 34027043900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,000.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34027043900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 59th, minority 35th, housing 50th.

Q5

Is tract 34027043900 considered part of Rolling Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34027043900 fall within Rolling Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027043900?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34027043900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.00% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 34027043900 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 34027043900 compare to Chatham overall?

Tract 34027043900 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Chatham at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chatham; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 34027043900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

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