Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally
Dover Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34027044900 · Morris County, NJ · pop 5,838
Census tract 34027044900 covers part of Dover, NJ, and scores 8.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,838. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Morris County average of 40.8%.
Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,201
Renter share43.4%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$74,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
National
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 40.8776, -74.5679 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dover scores 8.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,769 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
7.4
How Dover compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 68Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2017)
- 19Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.6%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 25.8%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dover
It sits 2.7 points above the Morris County average of 5.5. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.8% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 68 filings here across 2 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2017, when 5.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #6,676 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34027044900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027044900?
Census tract 34027044900 in Dover scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34027044900?
Median gross rent is $1,769/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34027044900?
4.1% of residents in tract 34027044900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,838.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34027044900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 32th, minority 87th, housing 64th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027044900?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027044900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.05% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34027044900 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34027044900 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 34027044900 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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