Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally
Dover Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34027045000 · Morris County, NJ · pop 5,191
With a score of 8.5/10, tract 34027045000 in Dover, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,191. It sits 3.0 points above the Morris County average of 5.5.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,825
Renter share60.2%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$75,865
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
National
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 40.8934, -74.5631 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dover scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,466 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
7.4
How Dover compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 74Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2017)
- 33Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.6%Housing insecurity
- 12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.2%Food insecurity
- 16.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.6%Transit barriers
- 25.8%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dover
The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.
roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Morris County average of 40.8%. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.8% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.
At $1,466 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Dover commands. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 74 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Food insecurity runs 26.2% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2017, when 3.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34027045000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027045000?
Census tract 34027045000 in Dover scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34027045000?
Median gross rent is $1,466/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34027045000?
19.4% of residents in tract 34027045000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,191.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34027045000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 80th, minority 84th, housing 87th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027045000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 74 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027045000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.10% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34027045000 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34027045000 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 34027045000 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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