Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally
Dover Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34027044800 · Morris County, NJ · pop 7,397
Tract 34027044800 sits in Dover, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.5/10. It is home to 7,397 residents. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 40.8% across Morris County.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units2,429
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$68,078
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
National
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 40.8844, -74.5517 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dover scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,006 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
7.4
How Dover compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 74Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2017)
- 34Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.9%Housing insecurity
- 12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.6%Food insecurity
- 16.3%SNAP enrollment
- 13.1%Transit barriers
- 28.0%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dover
Against the Morris County average of 5.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $68,078 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.4/10.
Housing insecurity runs 22.9% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 74 evictions over 2 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $2,006, 10% above the Dover average. The worst year on record was 2017, when 4.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34027044800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34027044800?
Census tract 34027044800 in Dover scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34027044800?
Median gross rent is $2,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34027044800?
12.0% of residents in tract 34027044800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,397.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34027044800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 28th, minority 91th, housing 71th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34027044800?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 74 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34027044800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.83% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34027044800 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34027044800 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 34027044800 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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