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Long Valley, New Jersey eviction risk overview
City brief · 1,720 residents

Long Valley, NJ Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Morris County · Population 1,720

In 2026
Risk score
6.3
ELEVATED

18th percentile, New Jersey.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.8 Average3.7 Now6.3
10 5 1976 · score 1.8 1977 · score 1.9 1978 · score 2.0 1979 · score 2.1 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.8 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.9 1988 · score 2.0 1989 · score 2.1 1990 · score 2.2 1991 · score 2.2 1992 · score 2.8 1993 · score 2.8 1994 · score 2.8 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 3.5 1997 · score 3.5 1998 · score 3.6 1999 · score 3.7 2000 · score 3.4 2001 · score 3.5 2002 · score 3.6 2003 · score 3.6 2004 · score 3.5 2005 · score 3.5 2006 · score 3.6 2007 · score 3.7 2008 · score 4.2 2009 · score 4.3 2010 · score 4.4 2011 · score 4.6 2012 · score 4.6 2013 · score 4.7 2014 · score 4.8 2015 · score 4.9 2016 · score 5.1 2017 · score 5.2 2018 · score 5.5 2019 · score 5.7 2020 · score 6.6 2021 · score 6.6 2022 · score 6.6 2023 · score 6.7 2024 · score 6.4 2025 · score 6.4 2026 · score 6.3

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.7 Regional 5.7 State 6.8 Economic 3.8 Supply 6.4 Rent Control 9.6 Eviction 6.7 Tenant 3.9 Housing 6.9 6.3 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +2.7% (2024)
    5.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.7
  3. State political climate
    New Jersey legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    7.4% poverty · 1.3% unemp.
    3.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,655 average · 7.9% renters
    6.4
  6. Rent Control risk
    37.2% of income on rent
    9.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    193 days filing → judgment
    6.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    7.9% renters
    3.9
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Long Valley and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Long Valley compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Morris County
Low
#33 of 49 cities
Rank in county, 33rd percentileBottomTop
#33 of 49 cities in Morris County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New Jersey
Very Low
#580 of 696 cities
Rank in state, 17th percentileBottomTop
#580 of 696 cities in New Jersey for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Long Valley risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Long Valley: 6.36.3Long ValleyThis cityCounty: 6.56.5Countyavg in countyState: 7.77.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 6.3
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 6.3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 193d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,655/mo. A contested eviction takes 193 days and costs $10,182-$26,901 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 7.9%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,720 residents, 7.9% rent. 37% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 7.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.7 and 5.7 (GOP margin +2.7% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.7, housing court bias 6.9, rent-control risk 9.6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.8. Supply constraint: 6.4. The numbers behind those: 7.4% poverty, 1.3% unemployment, 37% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Long Valley sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Newark, NJ · 165d · ~$16.3k all-in ($99/day) · score 9 Newark Jersey City, NJ · 163d · ~$18.6k all-in ($114/day) · score 9.3 Jersey City Paterson, NJ · 185d · ~$17.8k all-in ($96/day) · score 8.6 Paterson Elizabeth, NJ · 165d · ~$16.5k all-in ($100/day) · score 8.4 Elizabeth Trenton, NJ · 179d · ~$18.6k all-in ($104/day) · score 8.6 Trenton Clifton, NJ · 170d · ~$19.3k all-in ($114/day) · score 8 Clifton Bayonne, NJ · 180d · ~$17.2k all-in ($95/day) · score 8.3 Bayonne East Orange, NJ · 195d · ~$15.6k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.2 East Orange Passaic, NJ · 177d · ~$17.7k all-in ($100/day) · score 8.6 Passaic Union City, NJ · 179d · ~$17.7k all-in ($99/day) · score 9 Union City Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Long Valley
Long Valley · 193d · ~$18.5k all-in ($96/day) · score 6.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Long Valley, NJ

Landlording in Long Valley, New Jersey, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.3/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Long Valley is a city of 1,720 residents where 7.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 37.2% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,655/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Long Valley eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Long Valley closes 193 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Long Valley's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Long Valley runs $10,182 to $26,901 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 193 days of typical timeline and $1,655/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.9/10 in Long Valley, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New Jersey, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Long Valley: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New Jersey's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $26,901 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Long Valley

Trap · 4.2 POINTS
Politically, Morris County voted Democratic by 4.2 points in 2020, a baseline that correlates with tenant-protective legislative pressure. Combined with 37.2% rent-to-income ratio, expect baseline enforcement of NJSA 2A:18-61.1 Anti-Eviction Act.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the biggest mistake landlords make in Long Valley evictions?

The biggest mistake is not understanding the "just cause" requirement in New Jersey. Many landlords try to evict without a valid, statutory reason, or they try to terminate a lease without proper notice under the Anti-Eviction Act. This almost always leads to delays or dismissal of the case. Always have a legitimate, documented reason for eviction.

Q2

Can I evict a tenant for being consistently late with rent, even if they eventually pay?

Under New Jersey law, yes, if the lateness is habitual and substantial. However, you must serve proper notices for each instance of non-payment. This is a more challenging eviction to prove than outright non-payment, so legal counsel is highly recommended early on if you're dealing with a habitually late-paying tenant. You must document every late payment meticulously.

Q3

How do source of income protections affect my screening process?

Source of income protections mean you cannot refuse to rent to someone solely because they use a housing voucher (like Section 8) or receive public assistance. You must apply the same screening criteria (credit score, rental history, income-to-rent ratio) to all applicants, regardless of their income source. You can still deny an applicant if they don't meet your other, non-discriminatory criteria.

Q4

What if my tenant damages the property beyond the security deposit amount?

If the cost of repairs for tenant-caused damage exceeds the security deposit, you can sue the tenant in Small Claims Court (or Superior Court, depending on the amount) for the difference. However, collecting on such a judgment can be difficult, especially if the tenant has limited assets or moves out of state. Document all damages with photos and repair estimates before the tenant vacates.

Q5

Do I really need an attorney for an eviction in Long Valley?

While you can represent yourself in New Jersey landlord-tenant court, it's highly advisable to hire an attorney. New Jersey's eviction laws are notoriously complex and tenant-friendly. A small procedural error can lead to significant delays or even dismissal of your case, costing you far more in lost rent than attorney fees. This is especially true given the 193-day average timeline and high costs in Long Valley. For more information, see our New Jersey eviction risk overview or Morris County eviction guide.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 6.3/10 places Long Valley in the 18th percentile of New Jersey cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.