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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Four Seasons Eviction Risk: Elevated , Leisure Village East

Tract 34029722200 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 2,401 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 34029722200 sits in the Four Seasons area of Toms River eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. Population here is 2,401. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 6% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,502
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$36,434

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Four Seasons
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 20 tracts In Leisure Village East
Very High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
High
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#968 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leisure Village East and the region

Centroid at 40.0207, -74.1715 · click any tract to drill in

Why Four Seasons scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leisure Village East
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,303 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure Village East
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure Village East
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure Village East
5.3

How Four Seasons compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Four Seasons risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 722200Leisure Village Ea: 5.75.7Leisure Village Eaparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 49Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 3.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2018)
  • 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297222002013: 6 filings (3.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (4.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 8 filings (4.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 8 filings (2.96/100 renter HHs)2017: 8 filings (2.96/100 renter HHs)2018: 11 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 83% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Four Seasons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Four Seasons

Set annual rent against average income of $36,434 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 63% here against 50.5% across Ocean County. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.7/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. At $1,303 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Toms River commands.

It sits 1.0 points above the Ocean County average of 5.0. Court records carry 49 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. The worst year on record was 2018, when 4.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029722200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029722200?

Census tract 34029722200 in the Four Seasons neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029722200?

Median gross rent is $1,303/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029722200?

17.9% of residents in tract 34029722200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029722200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 22th, minority 16th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 34029722200 considered part of Four Seasons?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029722200 fall within Four Seasons (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029722200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029722200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.50% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34029722200 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34029722200 compare to Leisure Village East overall?

Tract 34029722200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure Village East at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure Village East; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leisure Village East

Top eight tracts in Leisure Village East ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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