Bay Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate , Seaside Heights
Tract 34029723500 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 2,722 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 34029723500 sits in the Bay Shore area of Toms River eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Ocean County average of 50.5%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Seaside Heights and the region
Centroid at 39.9447, -74.1218 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Shore scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Bay Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 161Total filings over 6 yrs
- 12.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.6%Peak (2016)
- 23Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Shore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Bay Shore
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.7/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.7/10.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 161 filings here across 6 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 21.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 34029723500
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029723500?
What is the average rent in tract 34029723500?
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029723500?
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029723500?
Is tract 34029723500 considered part of Bay Shore?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029723500?
What share of households in tract 34029723500 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 34029723500 compare to Seaside Heights overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Seaside Heights
Top eight tracts in Seaside Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.