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Neighborhood · Mystic Island, NJ

Hickory Island Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,245 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 6.7–6.7

Hickory Island maps to a single census tract in Mystic Island, NJ, population 3,245. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.7/10, Elevated tier. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.

Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the high side is housing-court posture at 8.4/10. Court records for this tract carry 141 eviction filings.

44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Mystic Island rate of 39.0%. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The worst year on record was 2017, when filings touched 13.8% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. SNAP participation is 6.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. At $1,701 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Mystic Island commands.

Recent filings have not receded much: 8.8% in 2018 against a 13.8% peak. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Hickory Island vs Mystic Island How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.8% +12%
Mystic Island: 39.0%
Average gross rent
$1,701 -10%
Mystic Island: $1,893
Average HH income
$85,536 +19%
Mystic Island: $71,917
Poverty rate
16.9% +3%
Mystic Island: 16.4%
Renter share
8.8% -28%
Mystic Island: 12.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hickory Island and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.7–6.7

Why Hickory Island scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
9% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Economic stress
16.9% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Hickory Island vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Hickory Island score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Hickory Island: 6.76.7Hickory IslandNeighborhoodParent city: 5.95.9Parent cityhost cityState: 6.46.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Hickory Island

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34029736105 6.7 3,245 44% $1,701
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 29

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 50%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 15%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Hickory Island

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 141Total filings (sum)
  • 10.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.8%Peak year (2017)
  • 8.76%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hickory Island

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Hickory Island

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hickory Island?

Hickory Island scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Hickory Island compare to Mystic Island overall?

Hickory Island scores 0.8 points higher than Mystic Island overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $1,701 vs $1,893.
Q3

What is the average rent in Hickory Island?

Average gross rent in Hickory Island is $1,701/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Hickory Island residents are renters?

9% of Hickory Island households are renter-occupied (vs 12% in Mystic Island). The neighborhood has 3,245 residents.
Q5

Is Hickory Island a high social-vulnerability area?

Hickory Island sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Hickory Island for landlords?

Hickory Island carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mystic Island as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Hickory Island?

Hickory Island has 3,473 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (92%), Hispanic / Latino (4.4%), Other / Multiracial (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hickory Island

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mystic Island

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hickory Island.

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