Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Union Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34039033000 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,032 · 5% of tract blocks fall in Union
Census tract 34039033000 covers part of Union, NJ, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,032. Cost burden runs about one in five here against 44.6% across Union County.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,718
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$133,800
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union and the region
Centroid at 40.6959, -74.2872 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,083 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union
5.5
How Union compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 81Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2013)
- 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
It sits 1.4 points below the Union County average of 6.6. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 81 eviction filings across 4 observed years. At $2,083 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Union commands.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2013, when 6.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039033000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039033000?
Census tract 34039033000 in Union scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039033000?
Median gross rent is $2,083/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039033000?
3.7% of residents in tract 34039033000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,032.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039033000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 11th, minority 70th, housing 7th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039033000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039033000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.36% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039033000 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039033000 compare to Union overall?
Tract 34039033000 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Union at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039033000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union
Top eight tracts in Union ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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