Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Union Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 34039033000 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,032 · 5% of tract blocks fall in Union
In Union in Union County, census tract 34039033000 scores 5.8/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 68th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 19% of renter households, a modest level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,083 a month while the average household earns $133,800 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,718
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$133,800
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
National
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union and the region
Centroid at 40.6959, -74.2872 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Union
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,083 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union
5.5
How Union compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 81Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2013)
- 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Union County average of 6.6 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 7% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039033000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039033000?
Census tract 34039033000 in Union scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039033000?
Median gross rent is $2,083/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039033000?
3.7% of residents in tract 34039033000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,032.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039033000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 11th, minority 70th, housing 7th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039033000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039033000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.36% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039033000 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039033000 compare to Union overall?
Tract 34039033000 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Union at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039033000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union
Top eight tracts in Union ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related