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Census Tract · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally

Plainfield Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34039039302 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,176

With a score of 8.6/10, tract 34039039302 in Plainfield, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,176. Cost burden runs 76% here against 44.6% across Union County.

Risk score
8.6
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 76% Stable renters 24% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate32.8%
Median income$48,418

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 12 tracts In Plainfield
Very High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#23 of 120 tracts In Union County
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#259 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
National
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5,153 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Plainfield and the region

Centroid at 40.6167, -74.4210 · click any tract to drill in

Why Plainfield scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Plainfield
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
32.8% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,522 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Plainfield
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Plainfield
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Plainfield
7.6

How Plainfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Plainfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.6This tracttract 0393027.2Plainfieldparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Plainfield

Food insecurity runs 56.3% against 17.8% nationally. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $48,418 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 26.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.2/10.

At $1,522 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Plainfield commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #5,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039039302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039039302?

Census tract 34039039302 in Plainfield scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039039302?

Median gross rent is $1,522/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039039302?

32.8% of residents in tract 34039039302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,176.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039039302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 87th, minority 94th, housing 96th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 34039039302 struggle to pay rent?

About 44.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 34039039302 compare to Plainfield overall?

Tract 34039039302 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Plainfield at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Plainfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 34039039302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Plainfield

Top eight tracts in Plainfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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