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Neighborhood · Green Island, NY

North Central Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 2,968 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.3/10 · range 9.3–9.3

North Central is a one-tract neighborhood of Green Island, NY, population 2,968. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.3/10, in the High tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

This is a renter market: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 36% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Green Island rate of 28.8%. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.3/10.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $1,081, close to the Green Island average.

One tract means one number: 9.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.3
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
North Central vs Green Island How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.4% +26%
Green Island: 28.8%
Average gross rent
$1,081 0%
Green Island: $1,084
Average HH income
$70,281 +0%
Green Island: $70,281
Poverty rate
23.2% +0%
Green Island: 23.2%
Renter share
74.9% -1%
Green Island: 75.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Central and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 9.3–9.3

Why North Central scores 9.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
75% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
23.2% below poverty line · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

North Central vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Central score vs. parent city, state, U.S.North Central: 9.39.3North CentralNeighborhoodParent city: 7.97.9Parent cityhost cityState: 8.38.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in North Central

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36001013100 9.3 2,968 36% $1,081
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 26%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Central

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Central

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Central?

North Central scores 9.3/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Central compare to Green Island overall?

North Central scores 1.4 points higher than Green Island overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,081 vs $1,084.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Central?

Average gross rent in North Central is $1,081/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Central residents are renters?

75% of North Central households are renter-occupied (vs 76% in Green Island). The neighborhood has 2,968 residents.
Q5

Is North Central a high social-vulnerability area?

North Central sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is North Central for landlords?

North Central carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Green Island as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of North Central?

North Central has 2,966 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.4%), Hispanic / Latino (16.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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