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Neighborhood · Green Island, NY

North Central Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 2,968 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.3/10 · range 9.3–9.3

North Central is a one-tract neighborhood of Green Island, NY, population 2,968. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.3/10, in the High tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

This is a renter market: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 36% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Green Island rate of 28.8%. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.3/10.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $1,081, close to the Green Island average.

One tract means one number: 9.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.3
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
North Central vs Green Island How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.4% +26%
Green Island: 28.8%
Average gross rent
$1,081 0%
Green Island: $1,084
Average HH income
$70,281 +0%
Green Island: $70,281
Poverty rate
23.2% +0%
Green Island: 23.2%
Renter share
74.9% -1%
Green Island: 75.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Central and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 9.3–9.3

Why North Central scores 9.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
75% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
23.2% below poverty line · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

North Central vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Central score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.3North CentralNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in North Central

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
36001013100 9.3 2,968 36% $1,081
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 26%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Central

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Central

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Central?

North Central scores 9.3/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Central compare to Green Island overall?

North Central scores 1.4 points higher than Green Island overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,081 vs $1,084.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Central?

Average gross rent in North Central is $1,081/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Central residents are renters?

75% of North Central households are renter-occupied (vs 76% in Green Island). The neighborhood has 2,968 residents.
Q5

Is North Central a high social-vulnerability area?

North Central sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is North Central for landlords?

North Central carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Green Island as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of North Central?

North Central has 2,966 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.4%), Hispanic / Latino (16.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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Other neighborhoods near North Central

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