Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Tonawanda Town Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36029008001 · Erie County, NY · pop 5,250

Tonawanda Town is where census tract 36029008001 sits, home to 5,250 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 68% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,085 a month against an average household income of $96,875 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 11% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units2,176

Renter share20.2%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate13.4%

Median income$96,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tonawanda Town and the region

Centroid at 42.9755, -78.8344 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tonawanda Town scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

13.4% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,085 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

5.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

4.1

How Tonawanda Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

22%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
2%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.2%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.1%Food insecurity
11.2%SNAP enrollment
7.1%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
24.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda Town

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tonawanda Town eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029008001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029008001?

Census tract 36029008001 in Tonawanda Town scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029008001?

Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029008001?

13.4% of residents in tract 36029008001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,250.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029008001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 4th, minority 45th, housing 65th.

What share of households in tract 36029008001 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029008001 compare to Tonawanda Town overall?

Tract 36029008001 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Tonawanda Town at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda Town eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029008001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda Town

Top eight tracts in Tonawanda Town ranked by composite eviction-risk score.