Tonawanda Town Eviction Risk: Elevated

58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Erie County average of 44.6%. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $36,563, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The clearest offset is tenant-organizing strength at 2.5/10.

On the high side, economic stress reads 7.4/10. SNAP participation runs 25.4% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Average gross rent is $984, 11% below the Tonawanda Town average. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.