Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally
Lackawanna Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36029012501 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,350
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 36029012501 (Lackawanna in Erie County, New York) comes in at 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $907 a month while the average household earns $57,569 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,036
Renter share42.1%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$57,569
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lackawanna and the region
Centroid at 42.8252, -78.8075 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lackawanna scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lackawanna
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$907 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lackawanna
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lackawanna
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lackawanna
7.5
How Lackawanna compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 26%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 15.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lackawanna
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lackawanna, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029012501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029012501?
Census tract 36029012501 in Lackawanna scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029012501?
Median gross rent is $907/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029012501?
14.5% of residents in tract 36029012501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,350.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029012501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 27th, minority 18th, housing 75th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029012501 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029012501 compare to Lackawanna overall?
Tract 36029012501 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Lackawanna at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lackawanna; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 36029012501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lackawanna
Top eight tracts in Lackawanna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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