Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Lackawanna Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36029016200 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,574
With a score of 7.8/10, tract 36029016200 in Lackawanna, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,113
Renter share43.6%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$57,989
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
National
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lackawanna and the region
Centroid at 42.8148, -78.8167 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lackawanna scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lackawanna
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$869 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lackawanna
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lackawanna
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lackawanna
7.5
How Lackawanna compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.7%Food insecurity
- 18.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lackawanna
Cost burden runs 36% here against 44.6% across Erie County. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $57,989, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Average gross rent is $869, close to the Lackawanna average. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029016200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029016200?
Census tract 36029016200 in Lackawanna scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029016200?
Median gross rent is $869/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029016200?
17.5% of residents in tract 36029016200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029016200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 63th, minority 31th, housing 69th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029016200 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029016200 compare to Lackawanna overall?
Tract 36029016200 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lackawanna at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lackawanna; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 36029016200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lackawanna
Top eight tracts in Lackawanna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related