Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #1,455 of 84,120 nationally
Lackawanna Eviction Risk: High
Tract 36029012300 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,838
How risky is Lackawanna for landlords? Census tract 36029012300 scores 6.8/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $846 a month against an average household income of $45,769 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,656
Renter share52.3%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate28.8%
Median income$45,769
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
National
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lackawanna and the region
Centroid at 42.8211, -78.8312 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lackawanna scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lackawanna
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
28.8% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$846 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lackawanna
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lackawanna
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lackawanna
7.5
How Lackawanna compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.1%Food insecurity
- 25.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.7%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lackawanna
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lackawanna, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029012300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029012300?
Census tract 36029012300 in Lackawanna scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029012300?
Median gross rent is $846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029012300?
28.8% of residents in tract 36029012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,838.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029012300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 70th, minority 33th, housing 64th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029012300 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029012300 compare to Lackawanna overall?
Tract 36029012300 scores 8.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Lackawanna at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lackawanna; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lackawanna
Top eight tracts in Lackawanna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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