Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Tonawanda Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36029007800 · Erie County, NY · pop 5,387
Tract 36029007800, home to 5,387 residents in Tonawanda in Erie County, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $912 a month against an average household income of $60,362 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,324
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$60,362
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tonawanda and the region
Centroid at 43.0076, -78.8962 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tonawanda scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$912 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tonawanda
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tonawanda
6.7
How Tonawanda compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 15.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tonawanda, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029007800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029007800?
Census tract 36029007800 in Tonawanda scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029007800?
Median gross rent is $912/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029007800?
10.8% of residents in tract 36029007800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,387.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029007800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 65th, minority 11th, housing 65th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029007800 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029007800 compare to Tonawanda overall?
Tract 36029007800 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Tonawanda at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda
Top eight tracts in Tonawanda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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