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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

North Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029008600 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,691 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 36029008600 sits in the North Park area of Kenmore, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. It is home to 4,691 residents. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 22% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,146
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$75,577

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In North Park
Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Buffalo
Very High
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#119 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Moderate
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#3,504 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9662, -78.8628 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Park scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,001 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
6.3

How North Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 0086007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Park

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 6.9/10.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $75,577, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029008600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029008600?

Census tract 36029008600 in the North Park neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029008600?

Median gross rent is $1,001/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029008600?

13.1% of residents in tract 36029008600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,691.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029008600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 47th, minority 27th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 36029008600 considered part of North Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029008600 fall within North Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029008600 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029008600 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029008600 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029008600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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