Within neighborhood
14
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
North Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Buffalo
Tract 36029008600 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,691 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
In North Park in Buffalo, census tract 36029008600 scores 6.2/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,001 a month while the average household earns $75,577 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,146
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$75,577
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 42.9662, -78.8628 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,001 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
6.3
How North Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 26%Grade A
- 71%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Park
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029008600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029008600?
Census tract 36029008600 in the North Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029008600?
Median gross rent is $1,001/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029008600?
13.1% of residents in tract 36029008600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,691.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029008600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 47th, minority 27th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 36029008600 considered part of North Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029008600 fall within North Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36029008600 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36029008600 compare to Buffalo overall?
Tract 36029008600 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 36029008600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo
Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related