Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally
Tonawanda Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36029017200 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,127
Census tract 36029017200 runs through Tonawanda in Erie County. With 2,127 residents, it scores 6.3/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #14,815 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $689 monthly, set against $49,551 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,046
Renter share46.0%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$49,551
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
National
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tonawanda and the region
Centroid at 43.0169, -78.8647 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tonawanda scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$689 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tonawanda
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tonawanda
6.7
How Tonawanda compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 16.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tonawanda, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029017200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029017200?
Census tract 36029017200 in Tonawanda scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029017200?
Median gross rent is $689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029017200?
20.0% of residents in tract 36029017200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,127.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029017200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 73th, minority 8th, housing 51th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029017200 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029017200 compare to Tonawanda overall?
Tract 36029017200 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Tonawanda at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda
Top eight tracts in Tonawanda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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