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Census Tract · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Tonawanda Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36029017200 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,127

With a score of 7.8/10, tract 36029017200 in Tonawanda, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 23% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,046
Renter share46.0%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$49,551

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Tonawanda
Very High
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#3,073 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
National
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#9,043 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tonawanda and the region

Centroid at 43.0169, -78.8647 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tonawanda scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$689 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tonawanda
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tonawanda
6.7

How Tonawanda compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tonawanda risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 0172006.5Tonawandaparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10. Cost burden runs 51% here against 44.6% across Erie County.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $689 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Tonawanda commands. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Nationally it ranks #9,043 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $49,551, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029017200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029017200?

Census tract 36029017200 in Tonawanda scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029017200?

Median gross rent is $689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029017200?

20.0% of residents in tract 36029017200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,127.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029017200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 73th, minority 8th, housing 51th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029017200 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029017200 compare to Tonawanda overall?

Tract 36029017200 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tonawanda at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda

Top eight tracts in Tonawanda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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