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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

North Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029004902 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,255 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 7.8/10, tract 36029004902 in the North Park area of Buffalo, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,255 residents. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 43% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,105
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$71,843

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In North Park
Elevated
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Very Low
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#3,073 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9503, -78.8600 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Park scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,292 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How North Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 0049027.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Park

Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 44.6% across Erie County. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Average gross rent is $1,292, 24% above the Buffalo average. Disability prevalence runs 19.2% against 31.5% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004902?

Census tract 36029004902 in the North Park neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029004902?

Median gross rent is $1,292/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004902?

10.5% of residents in tract 36029004902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,255.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 2th, minority 47th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 36029004902 considered part of North Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004902 fall within North Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029004902 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029004902 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004902 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029004902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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