Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

North Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029004902 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,255 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 36029004902 covers the North Park area of Buffalo, home to 4,255 residents. For landlords it grades 6.2/10, an elevated reading. On the national scale it ranks #16,832 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,292 a month while the average household earns $71,843 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 43% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units2,105

Renter share65.8%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate10.5%

Median income$71,843

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9503, -78.8600 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Park scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

10.5% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,292 rent vs county FMR

6.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How North Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

16%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
86%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.8%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
10.5%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
4.9%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
19.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Park

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 6.1 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029004902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029004902?

Census tract 36029004902 in the North Park neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029004902?

Median gross rent is $1,292/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029004902?

10.5% of residents in tract 36029004902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,255.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029004902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 2th, minority 47th, housing 20th.

Is tract 36029004902 considered part of North Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029004902 fall within North Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029004902 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029004902 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029004902 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 9.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029004902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.