Historic Grove Street Neighborhood Eviction Risk: High , Rochester

92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 2.3 points above the Monroe County average of 7.2.

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.5/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 22.2% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rochester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.