Lakefront Eviction Risk: Elevated , Syracuse

At $1,403 a month, rents run 35% over what the rest of Syracuse commands. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Disability prevalence runs 19.3% against 31.5% nationally. Cost burden runs 36% here against 43.5% across Onondaga County.

The dominant input is state political climate at 7.3/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Onondaga County average of 6.6.

SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.