North Valley Eviction Risk: High , Syracuse

Cost burden runs 77% here against 43.5% across Onondaga County. It sits 2.5 points above the Onondaga County average of 6.6.

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.4/10. Disability prevalence runs 47.9% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.6/10. Average gross rent is $845, 19% below the Syracuse average.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 22.9% against 14.2% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Syracuse. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.