1 census tracts · pop 4,147 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.1/10
· range 9.1–9.1
North Valley is a one-tract neighborhood of Syracuse, NY, population 4,147. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.1/10, in the High tier. The severe-burden share is 50%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Against a Syracuse baseline of 32.9%, roughly three in four of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. SNAP participation is 35.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 31%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot is economic stress at 7.6/10.
At $845 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Syracuse commands. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.
Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Syracuse, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Westside and Near Westside score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $31,982. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 9.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.1
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
North Valley vs SyracuseHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Valley
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.9%Housing insecurity
16.7%Utility shutoff threat
31.5%Food insecurity
35.1%SNAP enrollment
10.4%No health insurance
47.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About North Valley
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for North Valley?
North Valley scores 9.1/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does North Valley compare to Syracuse overall?
North Valley scores 1.4 points higher than Syracuse overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 77% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $845 vs $1,039.
Q3
What is the average rent in North Valley?
Average gross rent in North Valley is $845/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of North Valley residents are renters?
42% of North Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Syracuse). The neighborhood has 4,147 residents.
Q5
Is North Valley a high social-vulnerability area?
North Valley sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is North Valley for landlords?
North Valley carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Syracuse as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of North Valley?
North Valley has 4,378 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (54.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (38.8%), Hispanic / Latino (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
