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Neighborhood · Middletown, NY

Webb Heights Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 8,412 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.5/10 · range 7.8–9

Webb Heights is a 2-tract neighborhood of Middletown, NY and houses 8,412 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.5/10, in the High tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Middletown rate of 31.5%.

35% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 7.8 to 9. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.5/10. Food insecurity affects 27.4% of adults, 9.6 points above the national rate.

SNAP participation is 24.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. At $1,777 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Middletown commands. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Middletown, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Randall Heights and Amp Rentals Inc score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $74,460.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.5
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Webb Heights vs Middletown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.8% +71%
Middletown: 31.5%
Average gross rent
$1,777 +7%
Middletown: $1,661
Average HH income
$74,460 -4%
Middletown: $77,174
Poverty rate
11.7% -25%
Middletown: 15.5%
Renter share
42.1% -13%
Middletown: 48.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Webb Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.8–9

Why Webb Heights scores 8.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
11.7% below poverty line · Range 1.9–3.6 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.5 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Webb Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Webb Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.5Webb HeightsNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Webb Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36071001500 9 5,057 64% $1,805
36071001602 7.8 3,355 39% $1,736
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Webb Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Webb Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Webb Heights?

Webb Heights scores 8.5/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Webb Heights compare to Middletown overall?

Webb Heights scores 0.6 points higher than Middletown overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,777 vs $1,661.
Q3

What is the average rent in Webb Heights?

Average gross rent in Webb Heights is $1,777/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Webb Heights residents are renters?

42% of Webb Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Middletown). The neighborhood has 8,412 residents.
Q5

Is Webb Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Webb Heights sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Webb Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Webb Heights is census tract 36071001500 (score 9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.8 to 9, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Webb Heights for landlords?

Webb Heights carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Middletown as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Webb Heights?

Webb Heights has 8,255 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.5%), Hispanic / Latino (38.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Webb Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Middletown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Webb Heights.

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