Duttonville Eviction Risk: High

Against a Port Jervis baseline of 47.4%, 70% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 27.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

At $1,084 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Port Jervis commands. Food insecurity affects 26.9% of adults, 9.1 points above the national rate. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 9.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.