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Neighborhood · Middletown, NY

Randall Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 9,753 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 4.9–7

Randall Heights is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Middletown with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,753 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,507/month sits 9% lower than the Middletown citywide average ($1,661).

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Randall Heights vs Middletown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.0% +52%
Middletown: 31.5%
Average gross rent
$1,507 -9%
Middletown: $1,661
Average HH income
$73,962 -4%
Middletown: $77,174
Poverty rate
12.3% -21%
Middletown: 15.5%
Renter share
40.6% -16%
Middletown: 48.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Randall Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.9–7

Why Randall Heights scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 1.3–3.9 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–4.8 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Randall Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Randall Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Randall Heights: 6.36.3Randall HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 8.38.3Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Randall Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36071015100 7 6,599 48% $1,332
36071001300 4.9 3,154 48% $1,873
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 86%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Randall Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Randall Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Randall Heights?

Randall Heights scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Randall Heights compare to Middletown overall?

Randall Heights scores 2.0 points lower than Middletown overall (8.3/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,507 vs $1,661.
Q3

What is the average rent in Randall Heights?

Average gross rent in Randall Heights is $1,507/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Randall Heights residents are renters?

41% of Randall Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Middletown). The neighborhood has 9,753 residents.
Q5

Is Randall Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Randall Heights sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Randall Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Randall Heights is census tract 36071015100 (score 7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 7, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Randall Heights for landlords?

Randall Heights carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Middletown as a whole (8.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Randall Heights?

Randall Heights has 9,608 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (35.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Randall Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Middletown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Randall Heights.

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