2 census tracts · pop 9,753 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.5/10
· range 6.7–9.3
Randall Heights is a 2-tract neighborhood of Middletown, NY, population 9,753. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.5/10, in the High tier. about half of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Middletown rate of 31.5%.
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.7 to 9.3, a 2.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.5/10.
At $1,507 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Middletown commands. That places it #4 of 4 neighborhoods in Middletown.
Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $73,962.
41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.5
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Randall Heights vs MiddletownHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Randall Heights
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
21.5%Housing insecurity
12.4%Utility shutoff threat
24.8%Food insecurity
21.8%SNAP enrollment
13.2%No health insurance
31.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Randall Heights
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Randall Heights?
Randall Heights scores 8.5/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Randall Heights compare to Middletown overall?
Randall Heights scores 0.6 points higher than Middletown overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,507 vs $1,661.
Q3
What is the average rent in Randall Heights?
Average gross rent in Randall Heights is $1,507/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Randall Heights residents are renters?
41% of Randall Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Middletown). The neighborhood has 9,753 residents.
Q5
Is Randall Heights a high social-vulnerability area?
Randall Heights sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Randall Heights have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Randall Heights is census tract 36071015100 (score 9.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 9.3, a spread of 2.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Randall Heights for landlords?
Randall Heights carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Middletown as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Randall Heights?
Randall Heights has 9,608 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (35.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
