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Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Warwick Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36071014602 · Orange County, NY · pop 3,491 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Warwick

36071014602 is a census tract in Warwick, NY. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. 53% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 12% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,251
Renter share39.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$84,861

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Warwick
Very High
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 92 tracts In Orange County
Elevated
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,570 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#14,906 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Warwick and the region

Centroid at 41.2641, -74.3574 · click any tract to drill in

Why Warwick scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warwick
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,182 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warwick
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warwick
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warwick
6.6

How Warwick compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Warwick risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0146026.9Warwickparent city6.7Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Warwick

Against Orange County at 49.0%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,182 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Warwick commands.

That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $84,861, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Orange County average of 6.7 closely.

39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36071014602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36071014602?

Census tract 36071014602 in Warwick scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36071014602?

Median gross rent is $1,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36071014602?

5.8% of residents in tract 36071014602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,491.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36071014602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 39th, minority 20th, housing 59th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36071014602 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36071014602 compare to Warwick overall?

Tract 36071014602 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Warwick at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warwick; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Warwick

Top eight tracts in Warwick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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