Randall Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Middletown

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

At $1,873 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Middletown commands. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Orange County average of 6.7 closely.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $120,221.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.