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Census Tract · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

North Bay Shore Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36103145904 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,189

Census tract 36103145904 covers part of North Bay Shore, NY, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,189 residents. Average gross rent is $964, 40% below the North Bay Shore average.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 7% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,060
Renter share17.8%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$96,400

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In North Bay Shore
Very High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#3,356 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12,919 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across North Bay Shore and the region

Centroid at 40.7645, -73.2672 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Bay Shore scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from North Bay Shore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$964 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Bay Shore
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Bay Shore
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Bay Shore
4.1

How North Bay Shore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Bay Shore risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.0This tracttract 1459045.9North Bay Shoreparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Bay Shore

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Housing insecurity runs 25.0% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.0% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 0.7 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3. Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $96,400, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103145904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103145904?

Census tract 36103145904 in North Bay Shore scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103145904?

Median gross rent is $964/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103145904?

11.0% of residents in tract 36103145904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,189.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103145904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 96th, minority 87th, housing 76th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103145904 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103145904 compare to North Bay Shore overall?

Tract 36103145904 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of North Bay Shore at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Bay Shore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in North Bay Shore

Top eight tracts in North Bay Shore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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