Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Heer Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lindenhurst
Tract 36103123900 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 5,288 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 36103123900 covers part of the Heer Park area of Lindenhurst, NY, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,288 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,552
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$106,757
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lindenhurst and the region
Centroid at 40.6903, -73.3848 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heer Park scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lindenhurst
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,650 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lindenhurst
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lindenhurst
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lindenhurst
6.1
How Heer Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heer Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heer Park
24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
Against Suffolk County at 51.3%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.0 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10.
At $1,650 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Lindenhurst commands. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $106,757.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103123900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103123900?
Census tract 36103123900 in the Heer Park neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103123900?
Median gross rent is $1,650/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103123900?
11.5% of residents in tract 36103123900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,288.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103123900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 14th, minority 47th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 36103123900 considered part of Heer Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36103123900 fall within Heer Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36103123900 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36103123900 compare to Lindenhurst overall?
Tract 36103123900 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Lindenhurst at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lindenhurst eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lindenhurst
Top eight tracts in Lindenhurst ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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