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Census Tract · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Rocky Point Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36103158408 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,631

Tract 36103158408 sits in Rocky Point, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,431
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$94,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Rocky Point
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#3,316 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12,481 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rocky Point and the region

Centroid at 40.9597, -72.9181 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rocky Point scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rocky Point
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,815 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rocky Point
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rocky Point
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rocky Point
5.9

How Rocky Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rocky Point risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.1This tracttract 1584086.5Rocky Pointparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rocky Point

Cost burden runs 68% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. At $1,815 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Rocky Point commands.

It sits 0.8 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $94,625.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103158408

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103158408?

Census tract 36103158408 in Rocky Point scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103158408?

Median gross rent is $1,815/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103158408?

5.2% of residents in tract 36103158408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,631.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103158408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 10th, minority 29th, housing 8th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103158408 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103158408 compare to Rocky Point overall?

Tract 36103158408 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Rocky Point at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rocky Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rocky Point

Top eight tracts in Rocky Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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