Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally

Chester Hill Park Eviction Risk: High , Mount Vernon

Tract 36119004200 · Westchester County, NY · pop 4,848 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 9/10, tract 36119004200 in the Chester Hill Park area of Mount Vernon, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,848 residents. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 12% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units2,125

Renter share17.2%

SVI overall0.52

Poverty rate6.8%

Median income$92,159

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mount Vernon and the region

Centroid at 40.9213, -73.8253 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chester Hill Park scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mount Vernon

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

6.8% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,536 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mount Vernon

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mount Vernon

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mount Vernon

6.9

How Chester Hill Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
11%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

68%Grade A
32%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.6%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.7%Food insecurity
13.7%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
13.7%Frequent mental distress
23.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chester Hill Park

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Cost burden runs 33% here against 47.2% across Westchester County.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Against the Westchester County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lower Westchester Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36119004200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36119004200?

Census tract 36119004200 in the Chester Hill Park neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36119004200?

Median gross rent is $1,536/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36119004200?

6.8% of residents in tract 36119004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,848.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36119004200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 11th, minority 82th, housing 66th.

Is tract 36119004200 considered part of Chester Hill Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36119004200 fall within Chester Hill Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36119004200 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36119004200 compare to Mount Vernon overall?

Tract 36119004200 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of Mount Vernon at 8.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mount Vernon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36119004200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mount Vernon

Top eight tracts in Mount Vernon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.