Lincoln Eviction Risk: High , Yonkers

The dominant input is eviction-process difficulty at 9/10. Against the Westchester County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bronx. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,740, close to the Yonkers average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $105,522. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.