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Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Waterford Eviction Risk: Lower , Leland

Tract 37019020105 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 6,207 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Waterford area of Leland anchors census tract 37019020105, which lands at 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,742 monthly, set against $91,436 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 7% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,946
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$91,436

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Waterford
Very Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Leland
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 43 tracts In Brunswick County
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#2,402 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leland and the region

Centroid at 34.2268, -78.0394 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterford scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leland
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,742 rent vs county FMR
8.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leland
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leland
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leland
5.3

How Waterford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 020105Leland: 2.72.7Lelandparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waterford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterford

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Brunswick County average of 4.9 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37019020105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020105?

Census tract 37019020105 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37019020105?

Median gross rent is $1,742/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020105?

4.3% of residents in tract 37019020105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,207.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 40th, minority 33th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 37019020105 considered part of Waterford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020105 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37019020105 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37019020105 compare to Leland overall?

Tract 37019020105 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Leland at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leland

Top eight tracts in Leland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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