Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Lower , Leland
Tract 37019020105 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 6,207 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
37019020105 is a census tract in the Waterford area of Leland, NC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,207. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Brunswick County average of 40.6%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,946
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$91,436
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leland and the region
Centroid at 34.2268, -78.0394 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leland
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,742 rent vs county FMR
8.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leland
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leland
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leland
5.3
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waterford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
The voucher gap is 35.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.6/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 6.1% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 0.8 points below the Brunswick County average of 3.8. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020105?
Census tract 37019020105 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37019020105?
Median gross rent is $1,742/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020105?
4.3% of residents in tract 37019020105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,207.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 40th, minority 33th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 37019020105 considered part of Waterford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020105 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37019020105 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37019020105 compare to Leland overall?
Tract 37019020105 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Leland at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leland
Top eight tracts in Leland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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