Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Long Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Island

Tract 37019020315 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 2,075 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 37019020315 covers part of the Long Beach area of Oak Island, NC, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,075. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,161
Renter share19.1%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate20.6%
Median income$66,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Long Beach
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Oak Island
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 43 tracts In Brunswick County
Very High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#614 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Island and the region

Centroid at 33.9138, -78.0921 · click any tract to drill in

Why Long Beach scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Island
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
20.6% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$893 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Island
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Island
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Island
7.1

How Long Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Long Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0203153.6Oak Islandparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Long Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Long Beach

69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Brunswick County average of 40.6%. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. At $893 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Oak Island commands.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Brunswick County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37019020315

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020315?

Census tract 37019020315 in the Long Beach neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37019020315?

Median gross rent is $893/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020315?

20.6% of residents in tract 37019020315 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,075.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020315?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 33th, minority 1th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 37019020315 considered part of Long Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020315 fall within Long Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37019020315 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37019020315 compare to Oak Island overall?

Tract 37019020315 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oak Island at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Island

Top eight tracts in Oak Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related