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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Long Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Island

Tract 37019020314 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 390 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 3.2/10, tract 37019020314 in the Long Beach area of Oak Island, NC reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 390 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units234
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$89,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Long Beach
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Oak Island
Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 43 tracts In Brunswick County
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#1,766 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Island and the region

Centroid at 33.9143, -78.1380 · click any tract to drill in

Why Long Beach scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Island
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Island
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Island
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Island
7.1

How Long Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Long Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0203143.6Oak Islandparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Long Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Long Beach

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Food insecurity runs 4.9% against 17.8% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Brunswick County average of 3.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37019020314

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020314?

Census tract 37019020314 in the Long Beach neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020314?

4.5% of residents in tract 37019020314 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 390.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020314?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 13th, minority 19th, housing 10th.
Q4

Is tract 37019020314 considered part of Long Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020314 fall within Long Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 37019020314 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 37019020314 compare to Oak Island overall?

Tract 37019020314 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Island at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Island

Top eight tracts in Oak Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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