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Neighborhood · Oak Island, NC

Long Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 2,465 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 3.2–4.9

Long Beach is a 2-tract neighborhood of Oak Island, NC and houses 2,465 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 46%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Average gross rent is $752, 44% below the Oak Island average of $1,339. 58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Oak Island rate of 44.6%. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.2 to 4.9, a 1.7-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.2/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.5/10.

Food insecurity affects 7.9% of adults, 9.9 points below the national rate. At 16% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Rent takes 13% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Long Beach vs Oak Island How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.4% +31%
Oak Island: 44.6%
Average gross rent
$752 -44%
Oak Island: $1,339
Average HH income
$69,968 -16%
Oak Island: $83,483
Poverty rate
18.0% +85%
Oak Island: 9.8%
Renter share
16.1% +56%
Oak Island: 10.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Long Beach and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.2–4.9

Why Long Beach scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
16% renter households · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
18.0% below poverty line · Range 1.1–5.1 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–5.0 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Long Beach vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Long Beach score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6Long BeachNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Long Beach

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37019020315 4.9 2,075 69% $893
37019020314 3.2 390 , ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 4%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Long Beach

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Long Beach

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Long Beach?

Long Beach scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Long Beach compare to Oak Island overall?

Long Beach scores 1.0 points higher than Oak Island overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 45% citywide. Average rent: $752 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Long Beach?

Average gross rent in Long Beach is $752/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Long Beach residents are renters?

16% of Long Beach households are renter-occupied (vs 10% in Oak Island). The neighborhood has 2,465 residents.
Q5

Is Long Beach a high social-vulnerability area?

Long Beach sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Long Beach have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Long Beach is census tract 37019020315 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 4.9, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Long Beach for landlords?

Long Beach carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oak Island as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Long Beach?

Long Beach has 2,786 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (94.5%), Other / Multiracial (3.9%), Hispanic / Latino (0.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Long Beach

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