Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Varnamtown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37019020405 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 3,356 · 20% of tract blocks fall in Varnamtown
Census tract 37019020405 belongs to Varnamtown in Brunswick County, North Carolina. It is home to 3,356 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #33,509 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $58,105 a year. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,377
Renter share19.8%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$58,105
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Varnamtown and the region
Centroid at 33.9729, -78.2685 · click any tract to drill in
Why Varnamtown scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Varnamtown
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Varnamtown
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Varnamtown
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Varnamtown
7.9
How Varnamtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 93Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2015)
- 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Varnamtown
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Varnamtown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Brunswick County average of 4.9 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 93 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 6.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.4% of renter households in 2015.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020405?
Census tract 37019020405 in Varnamtown scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020405?
16.1% of residents in tract 37019020405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,356.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 21th, minority 5th, housing 42th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37019020405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 93 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 37019020405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.48% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
What share of households in tract 37019020405 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 37019020405 compare to Varnamtown overall?
Tract 37019020405 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Varnamtown at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Varnamtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Varnamtown
Top eight tracts in Varnamtown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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